Burnley v Southampton
Saturday, Feb 24 – 15:00
Burnley lost 1-0 to Swansea City in their last league match, with a late goal from Ki Sung-Yueng proving the difference between the two sides. The Clarets have had a fortnight to prepare for tomorrow’s game, having not featured in last weekend’s FA Cup fixtures. Earlier this week, striker Sam Vokes admitted that he is prepared to let his Southampton supporting family down tomorrow, by trying to get his name on the scoresheet. The 28-year-old has scored just three league goals in 21 appearances for Burnley this season, and has been unable to guide Sean Dyche’s side through a difficult winter period.
Southampton bounced back from their disappointing 2-0 loss to Liverpool a fortnight ago, by beating West Brom 2-1 in the FA Cup last weekend. After tomorrow’s game, the Saints have a string of huge fixtures against some of their fellow league strugglers, so Mauricio Pellegrino should be treating this like a cup final. Goalkeeper Alex McCarthy gave an outstanding second-half performance against the Baggies, and Pellegrino could be tempted to start him today. Southampton currently sit 18th in the Premier League table – a win today could see them move above the drop zone.
What the stats tell us:
- Burnley have managed to win three of their last five games against Southampton in the Premier League by a 1-0 scoreline.
- The Saints are without a win in their last four trips to Turf Moor (D1 L3) – prior to this they claimed back-to-back victories at the ground.
- Sean Dyche lost five of his first six competitive matches against the Saints as a manager (W1) – he has won each of his last two.
- There has been an average of 2.2 goals per game at Turf Moor (155 in 70 matches) – the second lowest in the history of the Premier League.
- Southampton have failed to beat any club starting the day in the top half of the Premier League table this season (D6 L9).
- Goalkeeper Alex McCarty saved each of the first five shots on target that he faced this season – he has now conceded 10 goals from the last 17 shots he has faced.
- Burnley have only picked up five points from their last 10 matches in the Premier League – fewer than any other side (D5 L5).
- Southampton have not lost any of their last eight matches in the Premier League, when they’ve started the day in the drop zone (W4 D4).
- Johann Berg Gudmundsson has provided five assists this season, helping Burnley collect nine points – more than any other player in the Premier League.
Burnley experienced a frustrating game against Swansea, and Sean Dyche will be expecting more from his forwards tomorrow. The Clarets are severely missing the attacking impetus that Chris Wood provides, and until the 26-year-old is fit again, they’re unlikely to score many goals. Southampton have their backs against the wall at the moment, and this is a must win game. They’ll get stuck in tomorrow, but it’s hard to see them breaking the home side down – Man City were held to a draw at Turf Moor at the beginning of the month, which tells you all you need to know about Burnley’s home record.